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Pessimism Report 2017

Dec
06

Please see the Pessimism Report 2017, as it was published today on bloomberg.com . They had forecasted for 2016 the Trump Triumph and the Brexit. Chapeau. A little bit dark to read, especially as most of the events described are not entirely unrealistic. But to put it in the words of a famous future Ex-President: The Sun will also rise tomorrow, and Mr. Hawking has promised another 1.000 years to mankind.

The Pessimist’s Guide to 2017

Our view on the probability of these events:

TRUMPLANDIA: probable

YALTA 2.0: probable

CHINA/US Trade War: probable

KIM TRUMPS TRUMP: not probable

HEADS ROLL IN EUROPE:

  • Le Pen: not probable
  • Beppo Grillo: not probable
  • Merkel Loses: not probable
  • Schengen Dissolved: not probable
  • Greece Blows Up: not probable

INTERNET of BAD THINGS: probable

CUBA BACK to USSR: not probable

MEXICO MELT-DOWN: probable

SAUDI ARABIA’S GOLDEN BOY SIDELINED: not probable

 

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