Pessimism Report 2017
Dec
06
Please see the Pessimism Report 2017, as it was published today on bloomberg.com . They had forecasted for 2016 the Trump Triumph and the Brexit. Chapeau. A little bit dark to read, especially as most of the events described are not entirely unrealistic. But to put it in the words of a famous future Ex-President: The Sun will also rise tomorrow, and Mr. Hawking has promised another 1.000 years to mankind.
Our view on the probability of these events:
TRUMPLANDIA: probable
YALTA 2.0: probable
CHINA/US Trade War: probable
KIM TRUMPS TRUMP: not probable
HEADS ROLL IN EUROPE:
- Le Pen: not probable
- Beppo Grillo: not probable
- Merkel Loses: not probable
- Schengen Dissolved: not probable
- Greece Blows Up: not probable
INTERNET of BAD THINGS: probable
CUBA BACK to USSR: not probable
MEXICO MELT-DOWN: probable
SAUDI ARABIA’S GOLDEN BOY SIDELINED: not probable
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